Poisson point process
In probability, statistics and related fields, a Poisson point process is a type of random mathematical object that consists of points randomly located on a mathematical space.^{[1]} The Poisson point process is often called simply the Poisson process, but it is also called a Poisson random measure, Poisson random point field or Poisson point field. This point process has convenient mathematical properties,^{[2]} which has led to it being frequently defined in Euclidean space and used as a mathematical model for seemingly random processes in numerous disciplines such as astronomy,^{[3]} biology,^{[4]} ecology,^{[5]} geology,^{[6]} seismology,^{[7]} physics,^{[8]} economics,^{[9]} image processing,^{[10]} and telecommunications.^{[11]}^{[12]}
The process is named after French mathematician Siméon Denis Poisson despite Poisson never having studied the process. Its name derives from the fact that if a collection of random points in some space forms a Poisson process, then the number of points in a region of finite size is a random variable with a Poisson distribution. The process was discovered independently and repeatedly in several settings, including experiments on radioactive decay, telephone call arrivals and insurance mathematics.^{[13]}^{[14]}
The Poisson point process is often defined on the real line, where it can be considered as a stochastic process. In this setting, it is used, for example, in queueing theory ^{[15]} to model random events, such as the arrival of customers at a store, phone calls at an exchange or occurrence of earthquakes, distributed in time. In the plane, the point process, also known as a spatial Poisson process,^{[16]} can represent the locations of scattered objects such as transmitters in a wireless network,^{[11]}^{[17]}^{[18]}^{[19]} particles colliding into a detector, or trees in a forest.^{[20]} In this setting, the process is often used in mathematical models and in the related fields of spatial point processes,^{[21]} stochastic geometry,^{[1]} spatial statistics ^{[21]}^{[22]} and continuum percolation theory.^{[23]} The Poisson point process can be defined on more abstract spaces. Beyond applications, the Poisson point process is an object of mathematical study in its own right.^{[2]} In all settings, the Poisson point process has the property that each point is stochastically independent to all the other points in the process, which is why it is sometimes called a purely or completely random process.^{[24]} Despite its wide use as a stochastic model of phenomena representable as points, the inherent nature of the process implies that it does not adequately describe phenomena where there is sufficiently strong interaction between the points. This has inspired the proposal of other point processes, some of which are constructed with the Poisson point process, that seek to capture such interaction.^{[25]}
The point process depends on a single mathematical object, which, depending on the context, may be a constant, a locally integrable function or, in more general settings, a Radon measure.^{[26]} In the first case, the constant, known as the rate or intensity, is the average density of the points in the Poisson process located in some region of space. The resulting point process is called a homogeneous or stationary Poisson point process.^{[27]} In the second case, the point process is called an inhomogeneous or nonhomogeneous Poisson point process, and the average density of points depend on the location of the underlying space of the Poisson point process. ^{[28]} The word point is often omitted,^{[29]}^{[2]} but there are other Poisson processes of objects, which, instead of points, consist of more complicated mathematical objects such as lines and polygons, and such processes can be based on the Poisson point process.^{[30]}
Contents
- 1 Overview of definitions
- 2 Homogeneous Poisson point process
- 3 Inhomogeneous Poisson point process
- 4 Simulation
- 5 General Poisson point process
- 6 History
- 7 Terminology
- 8 Notation
- 9 Functionals and moment measures
- 10 Avoidance function
- 11 Point process operations
- 12 Approximations with Poisson point processes
- 13 Convergence to a Poisson point process
- 14 Generalizations of Poisson point processes
- 15 See also
- 16 Notes
- 17 References
Overview of definitions[edit]
The Poisson point process is one of the most studied and used point processes, in both the field of probability and in more applied disciplines concerning random phenomena,^{[31]}^{[32]} due to its convenient properties as a mathematical model as well as being mathematically interesting.^{[2]} Depending on the setting, the process has several equivalent definitions^{[33]} as well as definitions of varying generality owing to its many applications and characterizations.^{[34]}
A Poisson point process is defined on some underlying mathematical space, called a carrier space,^{[35]}^{[36]} or state space, though the latter term has a different meaning^{[a]} in the context of stochastic processes. The Poisson point process can be defined, studied and used in one dimension, for example, on the real line, where it can be interpreted as a counting process or part of a queueing model;^{[41]}^{[42]} in higher dimensions such as the plane where it plays a role in stochastic geometry^{[1]} and spatial statistics;^{[43]} or on more general mathematical spaces.^{[44]} Consequently, the notation, terminology and level of mathematical rigour used to define and study the Poisson point process and points processes in general vary according to the context.^{[45]} Despite all this, the Poisson point process has two key properties.
Poisson distribution of point counts[edit]
A Poisson point process is characterized via the Poisson distribution. The Poisson distribution is the probability distribution of a random variable (called a Poisson random variable) such that the probability that equals is given by:
where denotes factorial and the parameter determines the shape of the distribution. (In fact, equals the expected value of .)
By definition, a Poisson point process has the property that the number of points in a bounded region of its carrier space is a Poisson random variable.^{[46]}
Complete independence[edit]
Consider a collection of disjoint and bounded subregions of the underlying space. By definition, the number of points of a Poisson point process in each bounded subregion will be completely independent of all the others.
This property is known under several names such as complete randomness, complete independence,^{[47]} or independent scattering ^{[48]}^{[49]} and is common to all Poisson point processes. In other words, there is a lack of interaction between different regions and the points in general,^{[50]} which motivates the Poisson process being sometimes called a purely or completely random process.^{[47]}
Different settings[edit]
In all settings where the Poisson point process is used, the key properties—the Poisson property and the independence property—play an essential role.^{[26]}^{[46]} The two properties are not logically independent; indeed, independence implies the Poisson distribution of point counts, but not the converse.^{[b]}
Homogeneous Poisson point process[edit]
If a Poisson point process has a parameter of the form , where is Lebesgue measure (that is, it assigns length, area, or volume to sets) and is a constant, then the point process is called a homogeneous or stationary Poisson point process. The parameter, called rate or intensity, is related to the expected (or average) number of Poisson points existing in some bounded region,^{[51]}^{[52]} where rate is usually used when the underlying space has one dimension.^{[51]} The parameter can be interpreted as the average number of points per some unit of extent such as length, area, volume, or time, depending on the underlying mathematical space, and it is also called the mean density or mean rate;^{[53]} see Terminology.
Interpreted as a counting process[edit]
The homogeneous Poisson point process, when considered on the positive half-line, can be defined as a counting process, a type of stochastic process, which can be denoted as .^{[33]}^{[42]} A counting process represents the total number of occurrences or events that have happened up to and including time . A counting process is a homogeneous Poisson counting process with rate if it has the following three properties:^{[33]}^{[42]}
- has independent increments; and
- the number of events (or points) in any interval of length is a Poisson random variable with parameter (or mean) .
The last property implies:
In other words, the probability of the random variable being equal to is given by:
The Poisson counting process can also be defined by stating that the time differences between events of the counting process are exponential variables with mean .^{[54]} The time differences between the events or arrivals are known as interarrival ^{[55]} or interoccurence times.^{[54]}
Interpreted as a point process on the real line[edit]
Interpreted as a point process, a Poisson point process can be defined on the real line by considering the number of points of the process in the interval . For the homogeneous Poisson point process on the real line with parameter , the probability of this random number of points, written here as , being equal to some counting number is given by:^{[56]}
For some positive integer , the homogeneous Poisson point process has the finite-dimensional distribution given by:^{[56]}
where the real numbers .
In other words, is a Poisson random variable with mean , where . Furthermore, the number of points in any two disjoint intervals, say, and are independent of each other, and this extends to any finite number of disjoint intervals.^{[56]} In the queueing theory context, one can consider a point existing (in an interval) as an event, but this is different to the word event in the probability theory sense.^{[c]} It follows that is the expected number of arrivals that occur per unit of time.^{[42]}
Key properties[edit]
The previous definition has two important features shared by Poisson point processes in general:^{[56]}^{[26]}
- the number of arrivals in each finite interval has a Poisson distribution;
- the number of arrivals in disjoint intervals are independent random variables.
Furthermore, it has a third feature related to just the homogeneous Poisson point process:^{[57]}
- the Poisson distribution of the number of arrivals in each interval only depends on the interval's length .
In other words, for any finite , the random variable is independent of , so it is also called a stationary Poisson process.^{[56]}
Law of large numbers[edit]
The quantity can be interpreted as the expected or average number of points occurring in the interval , namely:
where denotes the expectation operator. In other words, the parameter of the Poisson process coincides with the density of points. Furthermore, the homogeneous Poisson point process adheres to its own form of the (strong) law of large numbers.^{[58]} More specifically, with probability one:
where denotes the limit of a function, and is expected number of arrivals occurred per unit of time.
Memoryless property[edit]
The distance between two consecutive points of a point process on the real line will be an exponential random variable with parameter (or equivalently, mean ). This implies that the points have the memoryless property: the existence of one point existing in a finite interval does not affect the probability (distribution) of other points existing,^{[59]}^{[60]} but this property has no natural equivalence when the Poisson process is defined on a space with higher dimensions.^{[61]}
Orderliness and simplicity[edit]
A point process with stationary increments is sometimes said to be orderly^{[62]} or regular if:^{[63]}
where little-o notation is being used. A point process is called a simple point process when the probability of any of its two points coinciding in the same position, on the underlying space, is zero. For point processes in general on the real line, the property of orderliness implies that the process is simple,^{[64]} which is the case for the homogeneous Poisson point process.^{[65]}
Martingale characterization[edit]
On the real line, the homogeneous Poisson point process has a connection to the theory of martingales via the following characterization: a point process is the homogeneous Poisson point process if and only if
is a martingale.^{[66]}
Relationship to other processes[edit]
On the real line, the Poisson process is a type of continuous-time Markov process known as a birth-death process (with just births and zero deaths) and is called a pure ^{[67]} or simple birth process.^{[68]} More complicated processes with the Markov property, such as Markov arrival processes, have been defined where the Poisson process is a special case.^{[54]}
Restricted to the half-line[edit]
If the homogeneous Poisson process is considered just on the half-line , which can be the case when represents time^{[33]} then the resulting process is not truly invariant under translation.^{[61]} In that case the Poisson process is no longer stationary, according to some definitions of stationarity.^{[27]}
Applications[edit]
There have been many applications of the homogeneous Poisson process on the real line in an attempt to model seemingly random and independent events occurring. It has a fundamental role in queueing theory, which is the probability field of developing suitable stochastic models to represent the random arrival and departure of certain phenomena.^{[15]}^{[54]} For example, customers arriving and being served or phone calls arriving at a phone exchange can be both studied with techniques from queueing theory.
Generalizations[edit]
The homogeneous Poisson process on the real line is considered one of the simplest stochastic processes for counting random numbers of points.^{[69]}^{[70]} This process can be generalized in a number of ways. One possible generalization is to extend the distribution of interarrival times from the exponential distribution to other distributions, which introduces the stochastic process known as a renewal process. Another generalization is to define the Poisson point process on higher dimensional spaces such as the plane.^{[71]}
Spatial Poisson point process[edit]
A spatial Poisson process is a Poisson point process defined in the plane .^{[66]}^{[72]} For its mathematical definition, one first considers a bounded, open or closed (or more precisely, Borel measurable) region of the plane. The number of points of a point process existing in this region is a random variable, denoted by . If the points belong to a homogeneous Poisson process with parameter , then the probability of points existing in is given by:
where denotes the area of .
For some finite integer , we can give the finite-dimensional distribution of the homogeneous Poisson point process by first considering a collection of disjoint, bounded Borel (measurable) sets . The number of points of the point process existing in can be written as . Then the homogeneous Poisson point process with parameter has the finite-dimensional distribution:^{[73]}
Applications[edit]
The spatial Poisson point process features prominently in spatial statistics,^{[21]}^{[22]} stochastic geometry, and continuum percolation theory.^{[23]} This point process is applied in various physical sciences such as a model developed for alpha particles being detected. In recent years, it has been frequently used to model seemingly disordered spatial configurations of certain wireless communication networks.^{[17]}^{[18]}^{[19]} For example, models for cellular or mobile phone networks have been developed where it is assumed the phone network transmitters, known as base stations, are positioned according to a homogeneous Poisson point process.
Defined in higher dimensions[edit]
The previous homogeneous Poisson point process immediately extends to higher dimensions by replacing the notion of area with (high dimensional) volume. For some bounded region of Euclidean space , if the points form a homogeneous Poisson process with parameter , then the probability of points existing in is given by:
where now denotes the -dimensional volume of . Furthermore, for a collection of disjoint, bounded Borel sets , let denote the number of points of existing in . Then the corresponding homogeneous Poisson point process with parameter has the finite-dimensional distribution:^{[75]}
Homogeneous Poisson point processes do not depend on the position of the underlying space through its parameter , which implies it is both a stationary process (invariant to translation) and an isotropic (invariant to rotation) stochastic process.^{[27]} Similarly to the one-dimensional case, the homogeneous point process is restricted to some bounded subset of , then depending on some definitions of stationarity, the process is no longer stationary.^{[27]}^{[61]}
Points are uniformly distributed[edit]
If the homogeneous point process is defined on the real line as a mathematical model for occurrences of some phenomenon, then it has the characteristic that the positions of these occurrences or events on the real line (often interpreted as time) will be uniformly distributed. More specifically, if an event occurs (according to this process) in an interval where , then its location will be a uniform random variable defined on that interval.^{[73]} Furthermore, the homogeneous point process is sometimes called the uniform Poisson point process (see Terminology). This uniformity property extends to higher dimensions in the Cartesian coordinate, but not in, for example, polar coordinates.^{[76]}^{[77]}
Inhomogeneous Poisson point process[edit]
The inhomogeneous or nonhomogeneous Poisson point process (see Terminology) is a Poisson point process with a Poisson parameter set as some location-dependent function in the underlying space on which the Poisson process is defined. For Euclidean space , this is achieved by introducing a locally integrable positive function , where is a -dimensional point located in , such that for any bounded region the (-dimensional) volume integral of over region is finite. In other words, if this integral, denoted by , is:^{[52]}
where is a (-dimensional) volume element,^{[d]} then for any collection of disjoint bounded Borel measurable sets , an inhomogeneous Poisson process with (intensity) function has the finite-dimensional distribution:^{[75]}
Furthermore, has the interpretation of being the expected number of points of the Poisson process located in the bounded region , namely
Defined on the real line[edit]
On the real line, the inhomogeneous or non-homogeneous Poisson point process has mean measure given by a one-dimensional integral. For two real numbers and , where , denote by the number points of an inhomogeneous Poisson process with intensity function occurring in the interval . The probability of points existing in the above interval is given by:
where the mean or intensity measure is:
which means that the random variable is a Poisson random variable with mean .
A feature of the one-dimension setting, is that an inhomogeneous Poisson process can be transformed into a homogeneous by a monotone transformation or mapping, which is achieved with the inverse of .^{[78]}^{[79]}
Counting process interpretation[edit]
The inhomogeneous Poisson point process, when considered on the positive half-line, is also sometimes defined as a counting process. With this interpretation, the process, which is sometimes written as , represents the total number of occurrences or events that have happened up to and including time . A counting process is said to be an inhomogeneous Poisson counting process if it has the four properties:^{[42]}^{[80]}
- has independent increments;
- and
where is asymptotic or little-o notation for as . In the case of point processes with refractoriness (e.g., neural spike trains) a stronger version of property 4 applies:^{[81]} .
The above properties imply that is a Poisson random variable with the parameter (or mean)
which implies
Spatial Poisson process[edit]
An inhomogeneous Poisson process defined in the plane is called a spatial Poisson process^{[16]} It is defined with intensity function and its intensity measure is obtained performing an surface integral of its intensity function over some region.^{[20]}^{[82]} For example, its intensity function (as a function of Cartesian coordinates and ) can be
so the corresponding intensity measure is given by the surface integral
where is some bounded region in the plane .
In higher dimensions[edit]
In the plane, corresponds to an surface integral while in the integral becomes a (-dimensional) volume integral.
Applications[edit]
When the real line is interpreted as time, the inhomogeneous process is used in the fields of counting processes and in queueing theory.^{[80]}^{[83]} Examples of phenomena which have been represented by or appear as an inhomogeneous Poisson point process include:
- Goals being scored in a soccer game.^{[84]}
- Defects in a circuit board ^{[85]}
In the plane, the Poisson point process is important in the related disciplines of stochastic geometry ^{[1]}^{[43]} and spatial statistics.^{[21]}^{[22]} The intensity measure of this point process is dependent on the location of underlying space, which means it can be used to model phenomena with a density that varies over some region. In other words, the phenomena can be represented as points that have a location-dependent density.^{[20]} This processes has been used in various disciplines and uses include the study of salmon and sea lice in the oceans,^{[86]} forestry,^{[5]} and search problems.^{[87]}
Interpretation of the intensity function[edit]
The Poisson intensity function has an interpretation, considered intuitive,^{[20]} with the volume element in the infinitesimal sense: is the infinitesimal probability of a point of a Poisson point process existing in a region of space with volume located at .^{[20]}
For example, given a homogeneous Poisson point process on the real line, the probability of finding a single point of the process in a small interval of width is approximately . In fact, such intuition is how the Poisson point process is sometimes introduced and its distribution derived.^{[88]}^{[50]}^{[89]}
Simple point process[edit]
If a Poisson point process has an intensity measure that is a locally finite and diffuse (or non-atomic), then it is a simple point process. For a simple point process, the probability of a point existing at a single point or location in the underlying (state) space is either zero or one. This implies that, with probability one, no two (or more) points of a Poisson point process coincide in location in the underlying space.^{[90]} ^{[18]}^{[91]}
Simulation[edit]
Simulating a Poisson point process on a computer is usually done in a bounded region of space, known as a simulation window, and requires two steps: appropriately creating a random number of points and then suitably placing the points in a random manner. Both these two steps depend on the specific Poisson point process that is being simulated.^{[92]}^{[93]}
Step 1: Number of points[edit]
The number of points in the window, denoted here by , needs to be simulated, which is done by using a (pseudo)-random number generating function capable of simulating Poisson random variables.
Homogeneous case[edit]
For the homogeneous case with the constant , the mean of the Poisson random variable is set to where is the length, area or (-dimensional) volume of .
Inhomogeneous case[edit]
For the inhomogeneous case, is replaced with the (-dimensional) volume integral
Step 2: Positioning of points[edit]
The second stage requires randomly placing the points in the window .
Homogeneous case[edit]
For the homogeneous case in one dimension, all points are uniformly and independently placed in the window or interval . For higher dimensions in a Cartesian coordinate system, each coordinate is uniformly and independently placed in the window . If the window is not a subspace of Cartesian space (for example, inside a unit sphere or on the surface of a unit sphere), then the points will not be uniformly placed in , and suitable change of coordinates (from Cartesian) are needed.^{[92]}
Inhomogeneous case[edit]
For the inhomogeneous, a couple of different methods can be used depending on the nature of the intensity function .^{[92]} If the intensity function is sufficiently simple, then independent and random non-uniform (Cartesian or other) coordinates of the points can be generated. For example, simulating a Poisson point process on a circular window can be done for an isotropic intensity function (in polar coordinates and ), implying it is rotationally variant or independent of but dependent on , by a change of variable in if the intensity function is sufficiently simple.^{[92]}
For more complicated intensity functions, one can use an acceptance-rejection method, which consists of using (or 'accepting') only certain random points and not using (or 'rejecting') the other points, based on the ratio:^{[94]}
where is the point under consideration for acceptance or rejection.
General Poisson point process[edit]
The Poisson point process can be further generalized to what is sometimes known as the general Poisson point process^{[20]}^{[95]} or general Poisson process^{[82]} by using a Radon measure , which is locally-finite measure. In general, this Radon measure can be atomic, which means multiple points of the Poisson point process can exist in the same location of the underlying space. In this situation, the number of points at is a Poisson random variable with mean .^{[95]} But sometimes the converse is assumed, so the Radon measure is diffuse or non-atomic.^{[20]}
A point process is a general Poisson point process with intensity if it has the two following properties:^{[20]}
- the number of points in a bounded Borel set is a Poisson random variable with mean . In other words, denote the total number of points located in by , then the probability of random variable being equal to is given by:
- the number of points in disjoint Borel sets forms independent random variables.
The Radon measure maintains its previous interpretation of being the expected number of points of located in the bounded region , namely
Furthermore, if is absolutely continuous such that it has a density (which is the Radon–Nikodym density or derivative) with respect to the Lebesgue measure, then for all Borel sets it can be written as:
where the density is known, among other terms, as the intensity function.
History[edit]
Poisson distribution[edit]
Despite its name, the Poisson point process was neither discovered nor studied by the French mathematician Siméon Denis Poisson; the name is cited as an example of Stigler's law.^{[13]}^{[14]} The name stems from its inherent relation to the Poisson distribution, derived by Poisson as a limiting case of the binomial distribution.^{[96]} This describes the probability of the sum of Bernoulli trials with probability , often likened to the number of heads (or tails) after biased flips of a coin with the probability of a head (or tail) occurring being . For some positive constant , as increases towards infinity and decreases towards zero such that the product is fixed, the Poisson distribution more closely approximates that of the binomial.^{[97]}
Poisson derived the Poisson distribution, published in 1841, by examining the binomial distribution in the limit of (to zero) and (to infinity). It only appears once in all of Poisson's work,^{[98]} and the result was not well known during his time. Over the following years a number of people used the distribution without citing Poisson, including Philipp Ludwig von Seidel and Ernst Abbe.^{[99]} ^{[13]} At the end of the 19th century, Ladislaus Bortkiewicz would study the distribution again in a different setting (citing Poisson), using the distribution with real data to study the number of deaths from horse kicks in the Prussian army.^{[96]}^{[100]}
Discovery[edit]
There are a number of claims for early uses or discoveries of the Poisson point process.^{[13]}^{[14]} For example, John Michell in 1767, a decade before Poisson was born, was interested in the probability a star being within a certain region of another star under the assumption that the stars were "scattered by mere chance", and studied an example consisting of the six brightest stars in the Pleiades, without deriving the Poisson distribution. This work inspired Simon Newcomb to study the problem and to calculate the Poisson distribution as an approximation for the binomial distribution in 1860.^{[14]}
At the beginning of the 20th century the Poisson process (in one dimension) would arise independently in different situations.^{[13]}^{[14]} In Sweden 1903, Filip Lundberg published a thesis containing work, now considered fundamental and pioneering, where he proposed to model insurance claims with a homogeneous Poisson process.^{[101]}^{[102]}
In Denmark in 1909 another discovery occurred when A.K. Erlang derived the Poisson distribution when developing a mathematical model for the number of incoming phone calls in a finite time interval. Erlang was not at the time aware of Poisson's earlier work and assumed that the number phone calls arriving in each interval of time were independent to each other. He then found the limiting case, which is effectively recasting the Poisson distribution as a limit of the binomial distribution.^{[13]}
In 1910 Ernest Rutherford and Hans Geiger published experimental results on counting alpha particles. Their experimental work had mathematical contributions from Harry Bateman, who derived Poisson probabilities as a solution to a family of differential equations, though the solution had been derived earlier, resulting in the independent discovery of the Poisson process.^{[13]} After this time there were many studies and applications of the Poisson process, but its early history is complicated, which has been explained by the various applications of the process in numerous fields by biologists, ecologists, engineers and various physical scientists.^{[13]}
Early applications[edit]
The years after 1909 led to a number of studies and applications of the Poisson point process, however, its early history is complex, which has been explained by the various applications of the process in numerous fields by biologists, ecologists, engineers and others working in the physical sciences. The early results were published in different languages and in different settings, with no standard terminology and notation used.^{[13]} For example, in 1922 Swedish chemist and Nobel Laureate Theodor Svedberg proposed a model in which a spatial Poisson point process is the underlying process in order to study how plants are distributed in plant communities.^{[103]} A number of mathematicians started studying the process in the early 1930s, and important contributions were made by Andrey Kolmogorov, William Feller and Aleksandr Khinchin,^{[13]} among others.^{[104]} In the field of teletraffic engineering, mathematicians and statisticians studied and used Poisson and other point processes.^{[105]}
History of terms[edit]
The Swede Conny Palm in his 1943 dissertation studied the Poisson and other point processes in the one-dimensional setting by examining them in terms of the statistical or stochastic dependence between the points in time.^{[106]}^{[105]} In his work exists the first known recorded use of the term point processes as Punktprozesse in German.^{[106]}^{[14]}
It is believed ^{[13]} that William Feller was the first in print to refer to it as the Poisson process in a 1940 paper. Although the Swede Ove Lundberg used the term Poisson process in his 1940 PhD dissertation,^{[14]} in which Feller was acknowledged as an influence,^{[107]} it has been claimed that Feller coined the term before 1940.^{[97]} It has been remarked that both Feller and Lundberg used the term as though it were well-known, implying it was already in spoken use by then.^{[14]} Feller worked from 1936 to 1939 alongside Harald Cramér at Stockholm University, where Lundberg was a PhD student under Cramér who did not use the term Poisson process in a book by him, finished in 1936, but did in subsequent editions, which his has led to the speculation that the term Poisson process was coined sometime between 1936 and 1939 at the Stockholm University.^{[14]}
Terminology[edit]
The terminology of point process theory in general has been criticized for being too varied.^{[14]} In addition to the word point often being omitted,^{[71]}^{[2]} the homogeneous Poisson (point) process is also called a stationary Poisson (point) process,^{[56]} as well as uniform Poisson (point) process.^{[51]} The inhomogeneous Poisson point process, as well as being called nonhomogeneous,^{[56]} is also referred to as the non-stationary Poisson process.^{[80]}^{[108]}
The term point process has been criticized, as the term process can suggest over time and space, so random point field,^{[109]} resulting in the terms Poisson random point field or Poisson point field being also used.^{[110]} A point process is considered, and sometimes called, a random counting measure,^{[111]} hence the Poisson point process is also referred to as a Poisson random measure,^{[112]} a term used in the study of Lévy processes,^{[112]}^{[113]} but some choose to use the two terms for Poisson points processes defined on two different underlying spaces.^{[114]}
The measure is called the intensity measure,^{[115]} mean measure,^{[46]} or parameter measure,^{[75]} as there are no standard terms.^{[46]} If has a derivative or density, denoted by , is called the intensity function of the Poisson point process.^{[20]} For the homogeneous Poisson point process, the derivative of the intensity measure is simply a constant , which can be referred to as the rate,usually when the underlying space is the real line, or the intensity.^{[51]} It is also called the mean rate or the mean density^{[116]} or rate .^{[42]} For , the corresponding process is sometimes referred to as the standard Poisson (point) process.^{[52]}^{[66]}^{[117]}
The extent of the Poisson point process is sometimes called the exposure.^{[118]}^{[119]}
Notation[edit]
The notation of the Poisson point process depends on its setting and the field it is being applied in. For example, on the real line, the Poisson process, both homogeneous or inhomogeneous, is sometimes interpreted as a counting process, and the notation is used to represent the Poisson process.^{[33]}^{[42]}
Another reason for varying notation is due to the theory of point processes, which has a couple of mathematical interpretations. For example, a simple Poisson point process may be considered as a random set, which suggests the notation , implying that is a random point belonging to or being an element of the Poisson point process . Another, more general, interpretation is to consider a Poisson or any other point process as a random counting measure, so one can write the number of points of a Poisson point process being found or located in some (Borel measurable) region as , which is a random variable. These different interpretations results in notation being used from mathematical fields such as measure theory and set theory.^{[120]}
For general point processes, sometimes a subscript on the point symbol, for example , is included so one writes (with set notation) instead of , and can be used for the dummy variable in integral expressions such as Campbell's theorem, instead of denoting random points.^{[18]} Sometimes an uppercase letter denotes the point process, while a lowercase denotes a point from the process, so, for example, the point or belongs to or is a point of the point process , and be written with set notation as or .^{[38]}
Furthermore, the set theory and integral or measure theory notation can be used interchangeably. For example, for a point process defined on the Euclidean state space and a (measurable) function on , the expression
demonstrates two different ways to write a summation over a point process (see also Campbell's theorem (probability)). More specifically, the integral notation on the left-hand side is interpreting the point process as a random counting measure while the sum on the right-hand side suggests a random set interpretation.^{[120]}
Functionals and moment measures[edit]
In probability theory, operations are applied to random variables for different purposes. Sometimes these operations are regular expectations that produce the average or variance of a random variable. Others, such as characteristic functions (or Laplace transforms) of a random variable can be used to uniquely identify or characterize random variables and prove results like the central limit theorem.^{[121]} In the theory of point processes there exist analogous mathematical tools which usually exist in the forms of measures and functionals instead of moments and functions respectively.^{[122]}^{[123]}
Laplace functionals[edit]
For a Poisson point process with intensity measure , the Laplace functional is given by:^{[18]}
One version of Campbell's theorem involves the Laplace functional of the Poisson point process.
Probability generating functionals[edit]
The probability generating function of non-negative integer-valued random variable leads to the probability generating functional being defined analogously with respect to any non-negative bounded function on such that . For a point process the probability generating functional is defined as:^{[124]}
where the product is performed for all the points in . If the intensity measure of is locally finite, then the is well-defined for any measurable function on . For a Poisson point process with intensity measure the generating functional is given by:
which in the homogeneous case reduces to
Moment measure[edit]
For a general Poisson point process with intensity measure the first moment measure is its intensity measure:^{[18]}^{[19]}
which for a homogeneous Poisson point process with constant intensity means:
where is the length, area or volume (or more generally, the Lebesgue measure) of .
The Mecke equation[edit]
The Mecke equation characterizes the Poisson point process. Let be the space of all -finite measures on some general space . A point process with intensity on is a Poisson point process if and only if for all measurable functions the following holds
For further details see ^{[125]}
Factorial moment measure[edit]
For a general Poisson point process with intensity measure the -th factorial moment measure is given by the expression:^{[126]}
where is the intensity measure or first moment measure of , which for some Borel set is given by
For a homogeneous Poisson point process the -th factorial moment measure is simply:^{[18]}^{[19]}
where is the length, area, or volume (or more generally, the Lebesgue measure) of . Furthermore, the -th factorial moment density is:^{[126]}
Avoidance function[edit]
The avoidance function ^{[77]} or void probability ^{[120]} of a point process is defined in relation to some set , which is a subset of the underlying space , as the probability of no points of existing in . More precisely,^{[127]} for a test set , the avoidance function is given by:
For a general Poisson point process with intensity measure , its avoidance function is given by:
Rényi's theorem[edit]
Simple point processes are completely characterized by their void probabilities.^{[128]} In other words, complete information of a simple point process is captured entirely in its void probabilities, and two simple point processes have the same void probabilities if and if only if they are the same point processes. The case for Poisson process is sometimes known as Rényi's theorem, which is named after Alfréd Rényi who discovered the result for the case of a homogeneous point process in one-dimension.^{[129]}
In one form,^{[129]} the Rényi's theorem says for a diffuse (or non-atomic) Radon measure on and a set is a finite union of rectangles (so not Borel^{[e]}) that if is a countable subset of such that:
then is a Poisson point process with intensity measure .
Point process operations[edit]
Mathematical operations can be performed on point processes in order to new point processes and develop new mathematical models for the locations of certain objects. One example of an operation is known as thinning which entails deleting or removing the points of some point process according to a rule, creating a new process with the remaining points (the deleted points also form a point process).^{[131]}
Thinning[edit]
For the Poisson process, the independent -thinning operations results in another Poisson point process. More specifically, a -thinning operation applied to a Poisson point process with intensity measure gives a point process of removed points that is also Poisson point process with intensity measure , which for a bounded Borel set is given by:
This thinning result of the Poisson point process is sometimes known as Prekopa's theorem.^{[132]} Furthermore, after randomly thinning a Poisson point process, the kept or remaining points also form a Poisson point process, which has the intensity measure
The two separate Poisson point processes formed respectively from the removed and kept points are stochastically independent of each other.^{[131]} In other words, if a region is known to contain kept points (from the original Poisson point process), then this will have no influence on the random number of removed points in the same region. This ability to randomly create two independent Poisson point processes from one is sometimes known as splitting ^{[133]}^{[134]} the Poisson point process.
Superposition[edit]
If there is a countable collection of point processes , then their superposition, or, in set theory language, their union, which is^{[135]}
also forms a point process. In other words, any points located in any of the point processes will also be located in the superposition of these point processes .
Superposition theorem[edit]
The superposition theorem of the Poisson point process says that the superposition of independent Poisson point processes with mean measures will also be a Poisson point process with mean measure^{[136]}^{[97]}
In other words, the union of two (or countably more) Poisson processes is another Poisson process. If a point is sampled from a countable union of Poisson processes, then the probability that the point belongs to the th Poisson process is given by:
For two homogeneous Poisson processes with intensities , the two previous expressions reduce to
and
Clustering[edit]
The operation clustering is performed when each point of some point process is replaced by another (possibly different) point process. If the original process is a Poisson point process, then the resulting process is called a Poisson cluster point process.
Random displacement[edit]
A mathematical model may require randomly moving points of a point process to other locations on the underlying mathematical space, which gives rise to a point process operation known as displacement ^{[137]} or translation.^{[138]} The Poisson point process has been used to model, for example, the movement of plants between generations, owing to the displacement theorem,^{[137]} which loosely says that the random independent displacement of points of a Poisson point process (on the same underlying space) forms another Poisson point process.
Displacement theorem[edit]
One version of the displacement theorem^{[137]} involves a Poisson point process on with intensity function . It is then assumed the points of are randomly displaced somewhere else in so that each point's displacement is independent and that the displacement of a point formerly at is a random vector with a probability density .^{[f]} Then the new point process is also a Poisson point process with intensity function
which for the homogeneous case with a constant means
In other words, after each random and independent displacement of points, the original Poisson point process still exists.
The displacement theorem can be extended such that the Poisson points are randomly displaced from one Euclidean space to another Euclidean space , where is not necessarily equal to .^{[18]}
Mapping[edit]
Another property that is considered useful is the ability to map a Poisson point process from one underlying space to another space.^{[139]}
Mapping theorem[edit]
If the mapping (or transformation) adheres to some conditions, then the resulting mapped (or transformed) collection of points also form a Poisson point process, and this result is sometimes referred to as the mapping theorem.^{[139]}^{[140]} The theorem involves some Poisson point process with mean measure on some underlying space. If the locations of the points are mapped (that is, the point process is transformed) according to some function to another underlying space, then the resulting point process is also a Poisson point process but with a different mean measure .
More specifically, one can consider a (Borel measurable) function that maps a point process with intensity measure from one space , to another space in such a manner so that the new point process has the intensity measure:
with no atoms, where is a Borel set and denotes the inverse of the function . If is a Poisson point process, then the new process is also a Poisson point process with the intensity measure .
Approximations with Poisson point processes[edit]
The tractability of the Poisson process means that sometimes it is convenient to approximate a non-Poisson point process with a Poisson one. The overall aim is to approximate the both number of points of some point process and the location of each point by a Poisson point process.^{[141]} There a number of methods that can be used to justify, informally or rigorously, approximating the occurrence of random events or phenomena with suitable Poisson point processes. The more rigorous methods involve deriving upper bounds on the probability metrics between the Poisson and non-Poisson point processes, while other methods can be justified by less formal heuristics.^{[142]}
Clumping heuristic[edit]
One method for approximating random events or phenomena with Poisson processes is called the clumping heuristic.^{[143]} The general heuristic or principle involves using the Poisson point process (or Poisson distribution) to approximate events, which are considered rare or unlikely, of some stochastic process. In some cases these rare events are close to being independent, hence a Poisson point process can be used. When the events are not independent, but tend to occur in clusters or clumps, then if these clumps are suitably defined such that they are approximately independent of each other, then the number of clumps occurring will be close to a Poisson random variable ^{[142]} and the locations of the clumps will be close to a Poisson process.^{[143]}
Stein's method[edit]
Stein's method is a mathematical technique originally developed for approximating random variables such as Gaussian and Poisson variables, which has also been applied to point processes. Stein's method can be used to derive upper bounds on probability metrics, which give way to quantify how different two random mathematical objects vary stochastically.^{[141]}^{[144]} Upperbounds on probability metrics such as total variation and Wasserstein distance have been derived.^{[141]}
Researchers have applied Stein's method to Poisson point processes in a number of ways,^{[141]} such as using Palm calculus.^{[36]} Techniques based on Stein's method have been developed to factor into the upper bounds the effects of certain point process operations such as thinning and superposition.^{[145]}^{[146]} Stein's method has also been used to derive upper bounds on metrics of Poisson and other processes such as the Cox point process, which is a Poisson process with a random intensity measure.^{[141]}
Convergence to a Poisson point process[edit]
In general, when an operation is applied to a general point process the resulting process is usually not a Poisson point process. For example, if a point process, other than a Poisson, has its points randomly and independently displaced, then the process would not necessarily be a Poisson point process. However, under certain mathematical conditions for both the original point process and the random displacement, it has been shown via limit theorems that if the points of a point process are repeatedly displaced in a random and independent manner, then the finite-distribution of the point process will converge (weakly) to that of a Poisson point process.^{[147]}
Similar convergence results have been developed for thinning and superposition operations^{[147]} that show that such repeated operations on point processes can, under certain conditions, result in the process converging to a Poisson point processes, provided a suitable rescaling of the intensity measure (otherwise values of the intensity measure of the resulting point processes would approach zero or infinity). Such convergence work is directly related to the results known as the Palm–Khinchin^{[g]} equations, which has its origins in the work of Conny Palm and Aleksandr Khinchin,^{[149]} and help explains why the Poisson process can often be used as a mathematical model of various random phenomena.^{[147]}
Generalizations of Poisson point processes[edit]
The Poisson point process can be generalized by, for example, changing its intensity measure or defining on more general mathematical spaces. These generalizations can be studied mathematically as well as used to mathematically model or represent physical phenomena.
Poisson point processes on more general spaces[edit]
For mathematical models the Poisson point process is often defined in Euclidean space,^{[1]}^{[46]} but has been generalized to more abstract spaces and plays a fundamental role in the study of random measures,^{[150]}^{[151]} which requires an understanding of mathematical fields such as probability theory, measure theory and topology.^{[152]}
In general, the concept of distance is of practical interest for applications, while topological structure is needed for Palm distributions, meaning that point processes are usually defined on mathematical spaces with metrics.^{[153]} Furthermore, a realization of a point process can be considered as a counting measure, so points processes are types of random measures known as random counting measures.^{[117]} In this context, the Poisson and other point processes has been studied on a locally compact second countable Hausdorff space.^{[154]}
Cox point process[edit]
A Cox point process, Cox process or doubly stochastic Poisson process is a generalization of the Poisson point process by letting its intensity measure to be also random and independent of the underlying Poisson process. The process is named after David Cox who introduced it in 1955, though other Poisson processes with random intensities had been independently introduced earlier by Lucien Le Cam and Maurice Quenouille.^{[14]} The intensity measure may be a realization of random variable or a random field. For example, if the logarithm of the intensity measure is a Gaussian random field, then the resulting process is known as a log Gaussian Cox process.^{[155]} More generally, the intensity measures is a realization of a non-negative locally finite random measure. Cox point processes exhibit a clustering of points, which can be shown mathematically to be larger than those of Poisson point processes. The generality and tractability of Cox processes has resulted in them being used as models in fields such as spatial statistics^{[156]} and wireless networks.^{[19]}
Marked Poisson point process[edit]
For a given point process, each random point of a point process can have a random mathematical object, known as a mark, randomly assigned to it. These marks can be as diverse as integers, real numbers, lines, geometrical objects or other point processes.^{[157]}^{[158]} The pair consisting of a point of the point process and its corresponding mark is called a marked point, and all the marked points form a marked point process.^{[159]} It is often assumed that the random marks are independent of each other and identically distributed, yet the mark of a point can still depend on the location of its corresponding point in the underlying (state) space.^{[160]} If the underlying point process is a Poisson point process, then the resulting point process is a marked Poisson point process.^{[161]}
Marking theorem[edit]
If a general point process is defined on some mathematical space and the random marks are defined on another mathematical space, then the marked point process is defined on the Cartesian product of these two spaces. For a marked Poisson point process with independent and identically distributed marks, the marking theorem ^{[160]}^{[162]} states that this marked point process is also a (non-marked) Poisson point process defined on the aforementioned Cartesian product of the two mathematical spaces, which is not true for general point processes.
Compound Poisson point process[edit]
The compound Poisson point process or compound Poisson process is formed by adding random values or weights to each point of Poisson point process defined on some underlying space, so the process is constructed from a marked Poisson point process, where the marks form a collection of independent and identically distributed non-negative random variables. In other words, for each point of the original Poisson process, there is an independent and identically distributed non-negative random variable, and then the compound Poisson process is formed from the sum of all the random variables corresponding to points of the Poisson process located in some region of the underlying mathematical space.^{[163]}
If there is a marked Poisson point process formed from a Poisson point process (defined on, for example, ) and a collection of independent and identically distributed non-negative marks such that for each point of the Poisson process there is a non-negative random variable , the resulting compound Poisson process is then:^{[164]}
where is a Borel measurable set.
If general random variables take values in, for example, -dimensional Euclidean space , the resulting compound Poisson process is an example of a Lévy process provided that it is formed from a homogeneous Point process defined on the non-negative numbers .^{[165]}
Failure process with the exponential smoothing of intensity functions[edit]
The failure process with the exponential smoothing of intensity functions (FP-ESI) is an extension of the nonhomogeneous Poisson process. The intensity function of an FP-ESI is an exponential smoothing function of the intensity functions at the last time points of event occurrences and outperforms other nine stochastic processes on 8 real-world failure datasets when the models are used to fit the datasets,^{[166]} where the model performance is measured in terms of AIC (Akaike information criterion) and BIC (Bayesian information criterion).
See also[edit]
- Boolean model (probability theory)
- Continuum percolation theory
- Compound Poisson process
- Cox process
- Point process
- Stochastic geometry
- Stochastic geometry models of wireless networks
- Markovian arrival processes
Notes[edit]
- ^ In the context of point processes, the term "state space" can mean the space on which the point process is defined such as the real line,^{[37]}^{[38]} which corresponds to the index set^{[39]} or parameter set^{[40]} in stochastic process terminology.
- ^ See Section 2.3.2 of Chiu, Stoyan, Kendall, Mecke ^{[1]} or Section 1.3 of Kingman.^{[2]}
- ^ For example, it is possible for an event not happening in the queueing theory sense to be an event in the probability theory sense.
- ^ Instead of and , one could write, for example, in (two-dimensional) polar coordinates and , where and denote the radial and angular coordinates respectively, and so would be an area element in this example.
- ^ This set is formed by a finite number of unions, whereas a Borel set is formed by a countable number of set operations.^{[130]}
- ^ Kingman ^{[137]} calls this a probability density, but in other resources this is called a probability kernel.^{[18]}
- ^ Also spelt Palm–Khintchine in, for example, Point Processes by Cox and Isham.^{[148]}
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- ^ A. Baddeley; I. Bárány; R. Schneider (26 October 2006). Stochastic Geometry: Lectures given at the C.I.M.E. Summer School held in Martina Franca, Italy, September 13–18, 2004. Springer. pp. 19–21. ISBN 978-3-540-38175-4.
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General[edit]
Books[edit]
- A. Baddeley; I. Bárány; R. Schneider (26 October 2006). Stochastic Geometry: Lectures given at the C.I.M.E. Summer School held in Martina Franca, Italy, September 13–18, 2004. Springer. ISBN 978-3-540-38175-4.
- Cox, D. R.; Isham, V. I. (1980). Point Processes. Chapman & Hall. ISBN 978-0-412-21910-8.
- Daley, Daryl J.; Vere-Jones, David (2003). An Introduction to the Theory of Point Processes: Volume I: Elementary Theory and Methods. Springer. ISBN 978-1475781090.
- Daley, Daryl J.; Vere-Jones, David (2007). An Introduction to the Theory of Point Processes: Volume II: General Theory and Structure. Springer. ISBN 978-0387213378.
- Kingman, John Frank (1992). Poisson processes. Claredon Press. ISBN 978-0198536932.
- Moller, Jesper; Waagepetersen, Rasmus P. (2003). Statistical Inference and Simulation for Spatial Point Processes. CRC Press. ISBN 978-1584882657.
- Ross, S. M. (1996). Stochastic Processes. Wiley. ISBN 978-0-471-12062-9.
- Snyder, D. L.; Miller, M. I. (1991). Random Point Processes in Time and Space. Springer-Verlag. ISBN 978-0-387-97577-1.
- Stoyan, Dietrich; Kendall, Wilfred S.; Mecke, Joseph (1995). Stochastic geometry and its applications. Wiley. ISBN 978-0471950998.
- Streit, Streit (2010). Poisson Point Processes: Imaging, Tracking, and Sensing. Springer Science& Business Media. ISBN 978-1441969224.
- H. C. Tijms (18 April 2003). A First Course in Stochastic Models. John Wiley & Sons. pp. 22–23. ISBN 978-0-471-49880-3.
Articles[edit]
- Stirzaker, David (2000). "Advice to hedgehogs, or, constants can vary". The Mathematical Gazette.
- Guttorp, Peter; Thorarinsdottir, Thordis L. (2012). "What happened to discrete chaos, the Quenouille process, and the sharp Markov property? Some history of stochastic point processes". International Statistical Review.